El nino 2023 india

India is experiencing a colder than normal winter thanks to the north-south winter flow set up by the weather phenomenon known as La Niña (pronounced “la ninya”). The La Niña itself is going on for a record-breaking third consecutive year. Now, forecasts for the 2023 fall and winter are predicting that its companion phenomenon – the El Niño (“el ninyo”) – will occur with more than a 50% probability. At this juncture, what outlook can we develop on the cyclone season and the Indian monsoon? As the saying goes, predicting is very difficult, especially the future. But we can use scientific knowledge to give it a shot. Also Read | Locked and loaded with heat A La Niña event is visible in this image as a streak of cooler water along the equatorial Pacific, November 2007, captured by NASA Earth Observatory. | Photo Credit: NASA El Niño refers to a band of warmer water spreading from west to east in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Years in which an El Niño occurs are simply called ‘El Niño years’, and global weather patterns in that year tend to be anomalous in certain ways. Similarly, a La Niña occurs when the band of water spreads east-west and is cooler. Both phenomena affect the weather worldwide and can have drastic effects on economies that depend on rainfall. Together, El Niño and La Niña make up a cyclical process called the El Niño Southern Oscillation (or ENSO). The first thing to note is that El Niño forecasts before spring tend to be notoriously unreliable due to a so-c...

Weather phenomenon El Nino is returning after three years and is set to impact temperatures across the globe in 2023. This comes as NASA said that in 2022, Earth was about 1.1°C warmer in 2022 than the average temperature in the late 19th century. According to Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), 2022 was the fifth warmest year for India since 1901. El Nino In 2023: El Nino is set to return in 2023.(AFP) What is El Nino? El Nino literally means Little Boy, or Christ Child in Spanish. The phenomenon was first noticed by South American fishermen in the Pacific Ocean in the 1600s. The climate pattern returns every three to seven years during the months of December and January. This occurs due to the breaking down of the balance between wind, ocean current, oceanic and atmospheric temperature, and biosphere. Read more: No hope of any survivors in Nepal's deadliest crash in 30 years: Officials What happens during El Nino? Amid El Nino, winds which push the warm surface water weaken because of which nutrient-poor water occupies the entire tropical Pacific Ocean. After this, cold waters do not rise to the surface and coastal waters become unusually warm. What is the impact of El Nino? The warm water has a devastating impact on fishing crops and results in extremely higher than average amounts of rainfall. El Nino may also cause severe droughts over Australia, Indonesia, and parts of southern Asia. It also increases the chances of cyclones and typhoons in the Pacific.

MUMBAI, May 16 (Reuters) - India's weather office has forecast In the past, India has experienced below-average rainfall during most El Nino years, sometimes leading to severe drought that destroyed crops and forced authorities to limit the export of some food grains. WHAT IS EL NINO? HOW DOES IT AFFECT INDIA'S MONSOON? El Nino is a weather phenomenon that occurs when ocean temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean rise above normal. The warming causes changes in atmospheric patterns, leading to a weakening of the monsoon circulation over the Indian subcontinent. As a result, the Indian monsoon tends to be weaker and less reliable during El Nino years. HOW CLOSE IS THE CORRELATION BETWEEN EL NINO AND MONSOON RAIN? The correlation between El Nino and Indian monsoon rainfall is significant, despite occasional instances when India gets normal or above-normal rain during El Nino years. Over the past seven decades, the El Nino weather pattern occurred 15 times, with India experiencing normal or above-normal rainfall in six instances. However, a contrasting trend has emerged in the last four El Nino years, with India consistently facing drought conditions and rainfall falling below 90% of the long period average. Reuters Graphics El Nino events are categorised according to the magnitude of temperature rise above normal, as weak, medium or strong. In 2009, a weak El Nino led to a significant reduction in India's rainfall, plummeting to 78.2% of normal, the lowest reco...

MUMBAI/NEW DELHI, June 12 (Reuters) - India is not considering allowing sugar exports until at least the first half of the next season, as the government is worried the El Nino weather pattern could reduce rainfall and dent production, government sources said on Monday. India, the world's second biggest sugar exporter, usually decides the amount of the sweetener mills can export before the start of the new marketing year on Oct. 1. The delay in shipments from India could support global sugar prices , trading near multi-year highs. "The weather is a big negative factor. Last year, despite good monsoon rains, sugar production fell. This year, with El Nino, we can't take the risk of allowing exports early," said a senior government official who did not want to be identified in line with official rules. The "In any sugar season, it takes at least a few months to get a clear idea about production, and that's why we will wait until there's an absolutely clear picture about production," said another government official, who also declined to be identified. "As far as exports are concerned, we will not be in any hurry at all." A government spokesperson did not immediately respond to a request for comment. At the start of the current sugar season to Sept. 30, 2023, the industry pegged this year's output at 36 million tonnes, which has been scaled down to 32.8 million tonnes. Due to the lower output, India allowed exports of 6.1 million tonnes for this season. As the quota is exhaust...

As we celebrate Ugadi, weathermen warn of more hot days in India and elsewhere Historically, strong El Nino events have had catastrophic outcomes including droughts across the world. In 1768–71, severe droughts, especially in Bengal, led to 10 million deaths, shaking the very foundations of the British Empire. As many houses in South India are adorned with colourful kolams and thoranams for the spring festival of Ugadi (beginning of the year) on Wednesday, forecasters are seeing a harsh summer ahead in 2023 due to the El Nino effect. Vernal equinox or the beginning of spring is the moment when the sun crosses the celestial equator, an imaginary line that runs through the sky right above the equator exactly between the hemispheres. That happened at 2.54 am Indian time on Tuesday. “Once the sun’s vertical rays approach the equator, the maximum temperature will rise beginning today [Tuesday],” Prof S Abhilash, director of the Advanced Centre for Atmospheric Radar Research at Cochin University of Science and Technology (CUSAT), told South First on Tuesday. Spring means new growth, but in South India, it brings more heat. After the Also read: El Nino 2023 forecast Over the past three years, a phenomenon called La Nina — in which the tropical Pacific has cooler than average sea-surface temperatures — has cooled down the global average temperature. That phase has ended. Now it is a neutral phase, but there is an Though the event is still not visible, there are some small signs. O...

The El Niño phenomenon is likely to impact India’s weather in 2023, affecting the country’s agriculture sector. The annual monsoon rains are usually the worst-hit by this phenomenon. Considering how important these rains are for its agricultural sector and the overall economy, El Niño is a major cause for worry for India, which is already battling inflation. Climate scientists believe El Niño, which generally occurs every 3-5 years, could cause earth’s temperature to cross the 1.5°C threshold briefly, “Just how severe El Niño will be and whether it will happen will get clearer by March,” Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, director-general of India meteorological department (IMD), told Business Standard. If El Niño does take effect, then parts of Delhi, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, and Chhattisgarh may experience drought-like conditions while central and northwestern India could experience severe heatwaves, the report said. El Nino, therefore, often causes a shortage of agricultural commodities in India, causing food prices to surge in the country. The monsoon months June-September are crucial for Indian farmers. Nearly 70% of the subcontinent receives rain during this period. Agriculture, which largely depends on the monsoon, accounts for Food price inflation accounts for nearly 40% of India’s consumer price index (CPI) basket. In December, India’s CPI fell to a