Who is winning the war in ukraine

A mood of deepening gloom is gripping Russia’s elite about prospects for President Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine, with even the most optimistic seeing a “frozen” conflict as the best available outcome now for the Kremlin. Manywithin the political and business elite are tired of the war and want it to stop, though they doubt Putin will halt the fighting, according to seven people familiar with the situation, who asked not to be identified because the matter is sensitive. While nobody’s willing to stand up to the president over the invasion, absolute belief in his leadership has been shaken by it, four of the people said.

Residents stand next to a building that was damaged in the night, following Russian shelling in Komyshevakha, Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine, Monday. Andriy Andriyenko/AP Here's a look ahead and a roundup of key developments from the past week. What to watch Ukrainians are assessing the damage after waking up to missile strikes overnight in Odesa. On Tuesday, Russia celebrates Victory Day, which commemorates the Soviet Union's part in defeating the Nazis in World War II. President Vladimir Putin traditionally attends a military parade in Moscow's Red Square. The day has taken on new symbolism with Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Tuesday is also Europe Day — which is supposed to celebrate peace and unity on the continent but is marked for a second year with war in Ukraine. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen plans to On Thursday, Russia's associates governing occupied territories of eastern Ukraine in Donetsk and Luhansk mark the anniversary of self-proclaimed independence from Ukraine, which nobody else recognized until Putin declared recognition of the two regions as "republics" in February 2022. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy could be planning to go to Germany the coming weekend, say The Eurovision Song Contest finale is on Saturday. It's supposed to take place in the country of the previous winning group — but Kalush Orchestra from Delegates from Turkey, Russia, Ukraine and the United Nations could be meeting this week to discuss extending the deal a...

Ukraine, for its part, is relying on the United States and other NATO allies to keep up the flow of arms and ammunition, but those stockpiles have been stretched 10 months into the war. Both militaries are burning through thousands of artillery rounds a day and are facing challenges to secure more supplies to keep up the fight. The struggle for ammunition pits Russia’s defense industry — largely isolated by Western sanctions — against Ukraine’s war-damaged economy and its supporters in NATO. The former official said Russia has been reduced to using less sophisticated “stupid bombs,” and short of resorting to nuclear weapons is nearly depleted of capabilities. It remains unclear exactly how many artillery rounds and other ammunition Russia has left in its stockpiles, and how quickly its defense industry can churn out new ammunition. Top U.S. intelligence officials repeatedly have Military experts disagree on when Russia might run out of ammunition, with estimates ranging from a few months to more than a year. Russia’s “defense industrial base is still intact. It’s under a lot of strain from sanctions, but it’s still intact,” said Dara Massicot, a senior policy researcher at the Rand Corp. think tank. Russian factories are increasing production, moving to multiple shifts and bringing additional capacity online, said Paul Schwartz, a research scientist focusing on Russia’s military at the Center for Naval Analyses think tank. But it will be difficult to produce ammunition at ...

By Darpan Singh: After nearly six weeks of fighting, the world is still trying to figure out who is winning the Russia-Ukraine war that has seen thousands dead, millions displaced and multiple cities wrecked. When Russia’s President Vladimir Putin sent his tanks and troops to Ukraine on February 24, there was nothing official to suggest a timeframe within which he wanted to achieve his goals. But his mightier military was widely expected to force Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s troops to surrender “soon”. Let's go region by region. In the north, Putin’s forces could never enter Kyiv. They have now withdrawn from around Ukraine’s capital and moved across the border into Belarus and western Russia, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) cited by BBC. Ukraine is retaking large parts around Kyiv as about a half dozen burnt-out Russian tanks and armoured personnel carriers lie in the region. Ukraine has also recaptured substantial areas around the city of Chernihiv that's located between Kyiv and Russia. A wrecked Russian tank lay in the demolished town centre of Trostyanets in north-eastern Ukraine after Ukrainian forces expelled Russian troops from the town. This was seen in a Reuters photo gallery. Such scenes are not uncommon now in this war that has sparked the worst refugee crisis in Europe since World War II. ALSO READ: In the south, Russia has not taken any major city other than Kherson. In the same region, Ukraine is resisting Russia in the por...

Author • Aaron Pilkington US Air Force Analyst of Middle East Affairs, PhD Student at Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver Disclosure statement Aaron Pilkington is a U.S. Air Force analyst of Middle East affairs now studying at the University of Denver, conducting research on Iranian national security strategy. He will later join the Military & Strategic Studies department at the U.S. Air Force Academy. The views expressed are those of the author and do not reflect the official position of the Department of Defense, Department of the Air Force, the United States Air Force Academy, or any other organizational affiliation. Partners The Conversation UK receives funding from these organisations View the full list Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, center, and Russian President Vladimir Putin, greet each other as Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi stands at right during their meeting in Tehran, Iran, on July 19, 2022. Opposing the US everywhere Since the The fears of Iran’s leaders are not irrational – the long history of U.S. The U.S. has Iran has an even bigger aim: Iran counters U.S. influence by maintaining partnerships with an assortment of nonstate militias and governments united by their fierce anti-U.S. hostility. The country Through these militias and their political arms, Iran extends its influence and works to shape an Iran-friendly government in states like Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Yemen. At the national level, Iran maintains no perm...

A mood of deepening gloom is gripping Russia’s elite about prospects for President Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine, with even the most optimistic seeing a “frozen” conflict as the best available outcome now for the Kremlin. Many within the political and business elite are tired of the war and want it to stop, though they doubt Putin will halt the fighting, according to seven people familiar with the situation, who asked not to be identified because the matter is sensitive. While nobody’s willing to stand up to the president over the invasion, absolute belief in his leadership has been shaken by it, four of the people said. “There is elite deadlock: they are afraid to become scapegoats for a meaningless war,” said Kirill Rogov, a former Russian government advisor who left the country after the invasion and now heads Re:Russia, a Vienna-based think tank. “It is really surprising how widespread among the Russian elite became the idea of a chance that Putin won’t win this war.” More from TIME The growing despondency is likely to intensify a blame game over responsibility for the faltering invasion that’s already stirred bitter public divisions between nationalist hardliners and Russia’s Defense Ministry. With the Kremlin facing a Ukrainian counteroffensive that’s backed by billions in weapons from the US and Europe, expectations are low among Russian officials for any significant advances on the battlefield after a winter in which Moscow’s forces made little progress and incur...