World test championship final scenario

WTC final qualification scenarios: How can India qualify over Sri Lanka without winning 4th Test against Australia? As the final day of Border-Gavaskar trophy approaches, the battle for a spot in the final of World Test Championship against Australia heats up with India and Sri Lanka still in the mix. Published : Mar 12, 2023 17:44 IST Virat Kohli notched up a Test century after 1,205 days to provide necessary firepower for India after Australia posted a daunting 480 in its first innings. | Photo Credit: Getty Images Virat Kohli notched up a Test century after 1,205 days to provide necessary firepower for India after Australia posted a daunting 480 in its first innings. | Photo Credit: Getty Images World Test Championship points table: India qualifies for WTC final after NZ beats SL, faces Australia in June final Virat Kohli notched up a Test century after 1,204 days to provide necessary firepower for India to take a 91-run lead after Australia posted a daunting 480 in its first innings. The Aussies are currently trailing 88 runs with Matthew Kuhnemann and Travis Head in the middle. India’s probability of qualification took a major blow when Steve Smith-led Australia demolished the Men in Blue by nine wickets in the third Test, courtesy of a spin masterclass from Kuhnemann. India’s points percentage (PCT) dipped from 64.06 to 60.29, with its fifth defeat in 17 matches in the 2021-23 WTC cycle. How can India qualify for the WTC final now? India needs to win the fourth Test ...

The minimum Australia need to do to not depend on other teams is to draw one Test in India, provided they don't concede any penalty points. If they earn a draw and lose 3-0 in India, and don't concede any penalty points, they will finish on 61.40%, marginally ahead of the maximum that Sri Lanka can achieve. However, a single penalty point will push them down to 60.96%. If India win the home series against Australia 3-1 or better, they will qualify for the final regardless of the results in other series. Currently second on the table with 58.93% after their 2-0 series win in Bangladesh, they will go to 68.06% if they win 4-0 against Australia, 62.5% with 3-1, and 56.94% if the series ends 2-2.

Sri Lanka have moved back up to third place on the WTC table with the 1-1 drawn series, but they still have plenty to do to finish among the top two, given that their current percentage of 53.33 is well behind those of the top two teams currently. Sri Lanka have also already played five of their six series in this cycle, and their only remaining series consists of two Tests in New Zealand. If they win both, they will finish on 61.1%, but if the series finishes 1-1, their percentage will drop to 52.78. Pakistan are currently in fifth place, jostling in an extremely crowded mid-table tussle: Sri Lanka, India, Pakistan and West Indies currently have percentages between 50 and 53.33. The advantage for Pakistan is that their two remaining series are at home: three Tests against England and two against New Zealand. If they win all five, their percentage will shoot up to 69.05. If they collect 48 points from those two series (four wins and a loss), their percentage will be 61.9%. Even if they win both Tests against West Indies, they will still need more points to get their final percentage up to 60. If, for instance, they lose each of those overseas series 1-2 and beat West Indies 2-0, they will finish on 60%. If they win one of those series 2-1 and lose the other 1-2, they will go up to 66.67, which will keep them in the mix to qualify. If Australia win all five at home and lose all four to India, they will drop to 63.16 and India will leapfrog them if they win all six of their ...

India are taking on Australia in the World Test Championship (WTC) Final, which is being played at The Oval in England, London from June 7 to June 11. Heading into the final day, the match is very much in the balance, India will be hoping to make up for their previous WTC Final loss to New Zealand back in 2021 and winning it at their second go, while Australia will be hoping to add the trophy to their list of World Championships. However, as is often the case in Test matches, the game could end in a draw or a tie. So what happens if the match ends in a stalemate? MORE: What happens if the WTC Final is drawn or tied? In case India and Australia's five-day Test ends in a draw or tie, there won't be another tie-breaker to decide the winner of the Championship. A reserve day is only kept to extend the game in case it has been substantially affected by adverse weather conditions such as rain which has led to the loss of many overs across innings.